The Flu vs Coronavirus.pdf - BeastMachine

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‘The Flu’ vs Coronavirus People are saying: - "It's just the flu" - "We've had X amount people die from the Flu this flu season" - "Last year the flu killed xxx amount of people in <location of choice>" What is "The Flu"? Influenza. Which Influenza are these people talking about? No idea they don't seem to be specific when they say it, but let's take this one as a point of reference. "Influenza A virus subtype H1N1 (A/H1N1)": Is the subtype of the influenza A virus. Commonly famous for that was the most common cause of: - 2009 flu pandemic / Swine Flu - 1918 flu pandemic / Spanish Flu NOTE: The two largest flu pandemics in the 20th and 21st Century. We're doing are best for them, we've stacked this in favour by assuming they are referring to the largest flu pandemics in the last 120 years. Not just the last flu season that just passed by. -- 2009 Flu Pandemic / "Swine Flu” -- Global Population Estimation: 1.8 Billion Infection Estimate: ~500 million | Around 1/4 of the world Deaths: 17-50million (possibly higher) Length: ~3 Years It is estimated that in the 2009 flu pandemic 11–21% of the then global population (of about 6.8 billion), or around 700 million to 1.4 billion people, contracted the illness—more in absolute terms than the Spanish flu pandemic. However, with about 150,000–575,000 fatalities, it had a much lower-case fatality rate. In August 2010, the World Health Organization declared the swine flu pandemic officially over. More than the number of people infected by the Spanish flu pandemic, but only resulted in much less deaths (important to note, medical advancements and much knowledge through years and years of studies on H1N1. We don't have this luxury with COVID19) -- 1918 Flu Pandemic / "Spanish Flu" -- Global Population Estimation: 1.8 Billion Infection Estimate: ~500 million | Around 1/4 of the world Deaths: 17-50million (possibly higher) Length: ~3 Years The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic. Lasting from January 1918 to December 1920, it infected 500 million people—about a quarter of the world's population at the time. The death toll is estimated to have been anywhere from 17 million to 50 million, and possibly as high as 100 million, making it one of the deadliest epidemics in human history -- COVID-19 / Coronavirus -- (As of 28/03/2020) Global Population Estimation: 7.8 Billion Confirmed cases: 615,519 Deaths: 28,717 Length: ~3-4 Month ongoing, End unknown. Growth Rate: %7 Daily on the new cases from the previous day (Source: World meter - www.worldometers.info) Comparisons to the Flu: - Incubation time - Flu: 1-4 Days | COVID19: 1-4 Days - Fatality Rate - Flu: %.1 | COVID19: %1-3.4 20/02/2020 | %4.4 03/03/2020 (Source: Who) - Hospital Rate - Flu: %2 | COVID19: %19 - Infection PP(RO)- Flu: 1.3 | COVID19: 2-2.5 (Source: WHO, CBC, NCBI) -Early stage death comparison to other recent viruses (SARS (Worldwide), Swine Flu / H1N1 (Worldwide), COVID2019 (CHINA ONLY!) -Cases confirmed i n first 30 Days Now that it is global, live growth, as per current growth rate above for - 28/03/2020 (graph in the bottom right): https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 -COVID-19 VS Seasonal Flu (USA 2018-2019 Influenza Season) Fatality Rate: FLU: %0.1 COVID-19 %2.3 (Source: US and Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention) Coronavirus in its early days appears to be far more lethal than influenza A. Previous estimates in Wuhan, the epicenter of the epidemic, indicated a mortality rate of about 2% among confirmed cases in China and 0.7% outside mainland Chinese. But a recent study, published last Friday in the scientific journal The New England Journal of Medicine, points to a lower number: 1.4%. In a speech this week, the director general of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, was more pessimistic and pointed to a global mortality rate of 3.4%. Currently, more than 100 thousand cases are confirmed in 91 different countries, with 3407 registered deaths – which corroborates the number presented by the head of the international agency specialized in health. Mortality Rate comparison: Considering these data, the mortality rate of Covid-19 is thus 26 times higher than that of a common flu (0.13%) and 17 times higher than that of H1N1 (0.2%). Increasing Death rate: Death rate has doubled: %1-3.4 20/02/2020 | %4.4 03/03/2020 (Source: Who) *Could be insufficient testing. Donald Trump (Tweet) 09/03/2020: "So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu. It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shutdown, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of Coronavirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!" Tweet date US deaths: 22 Deaths Estimated Deaths from the Flu in the USA: 2014-2015: 51,000 2015-2016: 23,000 2016-2017: 38,000 2017-2018: 61,000 2018-2019: 34,157 Today date US deaths: 2191 Deaths (1709 yesterday) Donald Trump Tweet: Changed his tone in 20 days with the growth of Deaths, tweet: "The world is at war with a hidden enemy" NOTE: We could really go to town on Donald Trump and what he has said over the last 4 weeks regarding Coronavirus, but you could produce a separate report just for that and would regarding weeding through his tweets about how everything is Fake news.: Caronavirus: (Note: A and O are at opposite end of the keyboard) How far could the damage go in the USA: Spanish Flu USA Deaths: 675,000 occurring in the United States. 'the flu' is less contagious and there are x4 more people in the world now. According to studies by the University of Massachusetts Amherst: COVID-19 will be responsible for around 195,000 deaths in the US by the end of 2020. Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team We would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US, not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality. (Source of data: WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London) How far could the damage go in the world: WHO: The world is in "uncharted territory" on the coronavirus outbreak (Which flu was this said about?) A Harvard University epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, says that "40 to 70 percent" of the global population could become infected with coronavirus that as much as 70 percent of the world’s population could get the coronavirus. Professor Gabriel Leung, chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University: If the spread of the new coronavirus isn’t halted, it could infect 60 percent of the world’s population and kill 1 in 100 of those infected – around 50 million people. Thomas Frieden, Former Director CDC: Increasingly unlikely that the virus can be contained What can we do now? Read this: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 Containment vs no containment: What we can't do now: Mess around with these "It's just the flu" people. They are wrong. They need to be put in the place. Show them this information. Help shut them up. Conclusion: Coronavirus is much, much, much worse than any 'the Flu' that has ever existed. Note: I thought twice about making this political and including Donald Trump. I also deleted the parts about him to avoid the readers attention divert from the facts about Coronavirus and focusing on American politics and Donald Trump. But the very point of this article is for people who don’t research enough before making bold statements like “Its Just the Flu”. Donald Trump is a perfect example of this type of person and therefore has been included. The western world has become extreme divided on left vs right politics and it appears in the early stages of this Coronavirus that the biggest economy in the world, America, is bogging itself down in politics. This is a time for everyone in the world the stand together, help each other, share information, look after people in your neighborhoods. Put politics aside a realize that these people in American politics are fake. They are pretenders and at the end of the day, both of those sides of politics have spend many years spending a lot of money on military power and not enough on medicine, research and preparing for this brutal coronavirus that is now here. Look after each other, be nice to each other and wash your hands. Before any of you American democrats jump up on your high horse and start galloping around at how stupid Trump looks in the above information, I’ve included a special last page just for you 😉