Official Rhode Island Bowl XII (392249) Week 9 Report Metrics Page League Standings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Playoff Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Team Power Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Team Z-Score Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Team Score Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Team Coaching Efficiency Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Team Luck Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Weekly Top Scorers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Weekly Highest Coaching Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Bad Boy Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Beef Rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Charts Page Time Series Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Teams Page Beating A dead horse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Cheese Holes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Chicken Salad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Decatur Staleys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Deshaun of the Dead . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 KUKOC CARTER . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Lockett and Loaded . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Lord Gypsy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Tegrity Farms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Wholelottablog ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Appendices Page Appendix I: Rankings & Metrics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Page 2 League Standings Place Team Manager Record Points For Points Against Streak FAAB Moves Trades 1 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 8-1-0 (0.889) 968.0 814.0 W-4 $100 9 1 2 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 7-2-0 (0.778) 1001.0 805.0 L-1 $100 6 0 3 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 6-3-0 (0.667) 928.0 828.0 L-1 $100 17 0 4 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 5-4-0 (0.556) 836.0 765.0 L-1 $100 1 0 5 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 5-4-0 (0.556) 829.0 854.0 L-1 $100 16 2 6 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 4-5-0 (0.444) 693.0 806.0 W-1 $100 18 2 7 Cheese Holes ryan faria 3-6-0 (0.333) 815.0 879.0 W-1 $100 5 0 8 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 3-6-0 (0.333) 804.0 864.0 W-1 $100 17 0 9 Lord Gypsy tyler o 2-7-0 (0.222) 813.0 948.0 L-2 $100 18 2 10 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 2-7-0 (0.222) 778.0 902.0 W-1 $100 23 1 Playoff Probabilities Playoff probabilities were calculated using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations to predict team performances through the end of the regular fantasy season. Team Manager Record Playoffs Needed 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th Wholelottablog ? John Paola 8-1-0 (0.889) 100.00% 0 wins 63.06% 96.40% 99.87% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% Decatur Staleys rob wilks 7-2-0 (0.778) 100.00% 0 wins 34.85% 82.37% 97.17% 99.88% 100.00% 100.00% Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 6-3-0 (0.667) 99.88% 0 wins 1.87% 16.08% 66.50% 86.02% 97.70% 99.89% KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 5-4-0 (0.556) 97.29% 1 win 0.12% 3.71% 29.90% 59.92% 85.61% 97.28% Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 5-4-0 (0.556) 93.34% 1 win 0.09% 1.43% 6.30% 45.51% 82.67% 93.33% Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 4-5-0 (0.444) 55.33% 2 wins 0.00% 0.00% 0.25% 7.06% 21.21% 55.32% Cheese Holes ryan faria 3-6-0 (0.333) 29.94% 3 wins 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.84% 6.45% 29.94% Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 3-6-0 (0.333) 16.69% 3 wins 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.69% 4.41% 16.70% Beating A dead horse eric rimay 2-7-0 (0.222) 4.80% 4 wins 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 1.69% 4.80% Lord Gypsy tyler o 2-7-0 (0.222) 2.74% 4 wins 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.27% 2.75% Page 3 Team Power Rankings Average of weekly score, coaching efficiency and luck ranks. Power Rank Team Manager Season Avg. (Place) 3.0* Beating A dead horse eric rimay 5.89 (6) 3.0* Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 5.89 (6) 4.0 Cheese Holes ryan faria 5.89 (6) 5.0* Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 6.00 (7) 5.0* Decatur Staleys rob wilks 3.56 (1) 5.0* Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 4.56 (4) 6.0* Wholelottablog ? John Paola 4.00 (2) 6.0* Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 4.44 (3) 7.0* Lord Gypsy tyler o 6.22 (8) 7.0* KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 5.00 (5) *Tie(s). Team Z-Score Rankings Measure of standard deviations away from mean for a score. Shows teams performing above or below their normal scores for the current week. See Standard Score. Place Team Manager Z-Score 1 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 1.72 2 Cheese Holes ryan faria 1.69 3 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 0.42 4 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 0.36 5 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 0.18 6 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria -0.7 7 Lord Gypsy tyler o -0.78 8 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie -1.14 9 Decatur Staleys rob wilks -1.28 10 Wholelottablog ? John Paola -1.31 Page 4 Team Score Rankings Place Team Manager Points Season Avg. (Place) 1 Cheese Holes ryan faria 131.00 90.56 (6) 2 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 101.00 86.44 (9) 3 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 100.00 92.11 (5) 4 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 92.00 89.33 (8) 5 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 86.00 111.22 (1) 6* Lord Gypsy tyler o 83.00 90.33 (7) 6* Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 83.00 77.00 (10) 7 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 82.00 107.56 (2) 8 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 80.00 103.11 (3) 9 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 79.00 92.89 (4) *Tie(s). Team Coaching Efficiency Rankings Place Team Manager Coaching Efficiency (%) Season Avg. (Place) 1 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 50.61% 41.77% (8) 2 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 50.59% 47.06% (1) 3 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 47.06% 44.31% (4) 4 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 46.08% 45.19% (2) 5 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 45.50% 44.44% (3) 6 Cheese Holes ryan faria 45.49% 41.34% (10) 7 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 41.58% 44.30% (5) 8 Lord Gypsy tyler o 41.50% 41.53% (9) 9 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 37.55% 42.47% (7) 10 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 36.94% 44.20% (6) Team Luck Rankings Place Team Manager Luck (%) Season Avg. (Place) 1 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 77.78% 20.63% (2) 2 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 66.67% 36.11% (1) 3 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 33.33% -4.94% (7) 4 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 11.11% -20.99% (9) 5* Cheese Holes ryan faria 0.00% -12.96% (8) 5* KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 0.00% 15.28% (3) 6 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie -11.11% 9.72% (4) 7 Lord Gypsy tyler o -44.44% -27.16% (10) 8 Decatur Staleys rob wilks -55.56% 8.89% (5) 9 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo -77.78% 1.59% (6) *Tie(s). Page 5 Weekly Top Scorers Week Team Manager Score 1 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 123.00 2 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 109.00 3 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 147.00 4 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 136.00 5 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 155.00 6 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 134.00 7 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 106.00 8 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 138.00 9 Cheese Holes ryan faria 131.00 *Tie(s). Weekly Highest Coaching Efficiency Week Team Manager Coaching Efficiency (%) 1 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 48.54% 2 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 47.96% 3 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 50.00% 4 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 51.71% 5 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 48.91% 6 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 51.94% 7 Cheese Holes ryan faria 52.11% 8 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 50.20% 9 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 50.61% Page 6 Bad Boy Rankings Place Team Manager Bad Boy Pts Worst Offense # Offenders 1 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 5 ASSAULT 2 2* Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 2 DUI 1 2* Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 2 DUI 1 3 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 1 RESISTING ARREST 1 *Tie(s). Beef Rankings Team Beef Ranking is measured in TABBUs (Trimmed And Boneless Beef Units). One TABBU is currently established as 500 lbs. TABBU derivation stems from academic research done for the beef industry found here. Place Team Manager TABBU(s) 1 Beating A dead horse eric rimay 20.118 2 Cheese Holes ryan faria 19.574 3 Decatur Staleys rob wilks 19.416 4 Lord Gypsy tyler o 19.046 5 KUKOC CARTER Justin Faria 18.550 6 Wholelottablog ? John Paola 18.514 7 Tegrity Farms Charlie D'Raimo 18.366 8 Chicken Salad Mike Faria Jr. 17.546 9 Deshaun of the Dead Vincent Mazza 16.862 10 Lockett and Loaded Greg Lavoie 15.990 Page 7 T i m e S e r i e s C h a r t s 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Beating A dead horse Cheese Holes Chicken Salad Decatur Staleys Deshaun of the Dead KUKOC CARTER Lockett and Loaded Lord Gypsy Tegrity Farms Wholelottablog ? Weekly Points Weeks Fantasy Points 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Beating A dead horse Cheese Holes Chicken Salad Decatur Staleys Deshaun of the Dead KUKOC CARTER Lockett and Loaded Lord Gypsy Tegrity Farms Wholelottablog ? Weekly Coaching Efficiency Weeks Coaching Efficiency (%) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Beating A dead horse Cheese Holes Chicken Salad Decatur Staleys Deshaun of the Dead KUKOC CARTER Lockett and Loaded Lord Gypsy Tegrity Farms Wholelottablog ? Weekly Luck Weeks Luck (%) Page 8 Beating A dead horse Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 17.00 K 6.00 QB 17.00 RB 30.00 TE 13.00 WR 18.00 D/ST 9.22 K 8.67 QB 16.22 RB 26.78 TE 7.33 WR 18.22 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Josh Allen 0.524 262 George Kittle 0.5 250 David Montgomery 0.444 222 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T David Montgomery -- CHI Robert Woods -- LAR 19.0 0.0 Page 9 Cheese Holes Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 4.00 K 16.00 QB 39.00 RB 50.00 TE 16.00 WR 6.00 D/ST 6.78 K 6.56 QB 21.89 RB 39.67 TE 6.78 WR 8.89 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Zach Ertz 0.5 250 Carlos Hyde 0.458 229 Sony Michel 0.43 215 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Russell Wilson -- SEA N'Keal Harry -- NE 39.0 0.0 Page 10 Chicken Salad Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 3.00 K 4.00 QB 14.00 RB 25.00 TE 2.00 WR 35.00 D/ST 7.33 K 6.22 QB 18.89 RB 18.44 TE 4.56 WR 21.56 Whodunnit? Starting Player Bad Boy Points Worst Offense Adrian Peterson 1 RESISTING ARREST Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Mark Andrews 0.51 255 Carson Wentz 0.474 237 Mike Evans 0.462 231 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Mike Evans -- TB Derrius Guice -- WSH 24.0 0.0 Page 11 Decatur Staleys Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 1.00 K 18.00 QB 13.00 RB 40.00 TE 1.00 WR 13.00 D/ST 19.33 K 9.89 QB 19.00 RB 35.33 TE 7.22 WR 20.44 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Jonnu Smith 0.496 248 Jaylen Samuels 0.45 225 Tom Brady 0.45 225 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Josh Jacobs -- OAK Austin Hooper -- ATL 24.0 0.0 Page 12 Deshaun of the Dead Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 10.00 K 5.00 QB 19.00 RB 29.00 TE 6.00 WR 23.00 D/ST 8.44 K 8.67 QB 23.22 RB 19.56 TE 7.11 WR 22.33 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Darren Fells 0.54 270 Deshaun Watson 0.442 221 Miles Sanders 0.422 211 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Melvin Gordon -- LAC Gerald Everett -- LAR 22.0 0.0 Page 13 KUKOC CARTER Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 6.00 K 10.00 QB 21.00 RB 20.00 TE 0.00 WR 22.00 D/ST 10.22 K 7.33 QB 17.22 RB 35.67 TE 1.11 WR 21.33 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Trey Burton 0.476 238 Dak Prescott 0.476 238 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.43 215 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Dak Prescott -- DAL Rams -- Rams 21.0 0.0 Page 14 Lockett and Loaded Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 6.00 K 5.00 QB 7.00 RB 25.00 TE 4.00 WR 33.00 D/ST 7.67 K 7.67 QB 17.00 RB 36.56 TE 6.89 WR 27.33 Whodunnit? Starting Player Bad Boy Points Worst Offense Aaron Jones 2 DUI Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Evan Engram 0.48 240 Saquon Barkley 0.466 233 Gardner Minshew II 0.45 225 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Tyler Lockett -- SEA Matt Ryan -- ATL 27.0 0.0 Page 15 Lord Gypsy Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 2.00 K 3.00 QB 28.00 RB 14.00 TE 8.00 WR 28.00 D/ST 6.67 K 8.89 QB 22.78 RB 25.78 TE 6.56 WR 19.67 Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Hunter Henry 0.5 250 Ezekiel Elliott 0.456 228 Peyton Barber 0.45 225 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Lamar Jackson -- BAL DeSean Jackson -- PHI 28.0 0.0 Page 16 Tegrity Farms Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 8.00 K 6.00 QB 24.00 RB 34.00 TE 6.00 WR 22.00 D/ST 6.56 K 6.89 QB 17.44 RB 34.56 TE 8.22 WR 18.44 Whodunnit? Starting Player Bad Boy Points Worst Offense Matt Prater 2 DUI Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Travis Kelce 0.52 260 Derrick Henry 0.494 247 Allen Robinson II 0.44 220 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Matthew Stafford -- DET Latavius Murray -- NO 24.0 0.0 Page 17 Wholelottablog ? Weekly Points by Position Season Average Points by Position D/ST 3.00 K 7.00 QB 12.00 RB 30.00 TE 4.00 WR 26.00 D/ST 4.67 K 10.22 QB 21.56 RB 36.00 TE 5.78 WR 29.33 Whodunnit? Starting Player Bad Boy Points Worst Offense Julian Edelman 3 ASSAULT Le'Veon Bell 2 DRUGS Beefiest Bois Starting Player TABBU(s) Weight (lbs.) Greg Olsen 0.51 255 DK Metcalf 0.46 230 Nick Chubb 0.45 225 Boom... or Bust BOOOOOOOOM ...b... U... s... T Kenyan Drake -- ARI Calvin Ridley -- ATL 24.0 0.0 Page 18 Appendix I: Rankings & Metrics League Standings Overall standings for the chosen week. Dynamically adjusts information based on whether a league uses only waivers or has a FAAB (free agent acquisition budget). Data marked with an asterisk (" * ") means that due to limitations of whichever fantasy platform API is being used, the available information is incomplete in some way. Playoff Probabilities Predicts each team's likelihood of making the playoffs, as well as of finishing in any given place. These predictions are created using Monte Carlo simulations to simulate the rest of the season over and over, and then averaging out each team's performance across all performed simulations. Currently these predictions are not aware of special playoff eligibility for leagues with divisions or other custom playoff settings. Team Power Rankings The power rankings are calculated by taking a weekly average of each team's score, coaching efficiency, and luck. Team Z-Score Rankings Measure of standard deviations away from mean for a score. Shows teams performing above or below their normal scores for the current week. See Standard Score. This metric shows which teams overperformed or underperformed compared to how those teams usually do. Team Score Rankings Teams ranked by highest score. If tie-breaks are turned on, highest bench points will be used to break score ties. Team Coaching Efficiency Rankings Coaching efficiency is calculated by dividing the total points scored by each team this week by the highest possible points they could have scored (optimal points) this week. This metric is designed to quantify whether manager made good sit/start decisions, regardless of how high their team scored or whether their team won or lost. If tie-breaks are turned on, the team with the most starting players that exceeded their weekly average points is awarded a higher ranking, and if that is still tied, the team whose starting players exceeded their weekly average points by the highest cumulative percentage points is awarded a higher ranking. Team Luck Rankings Luck is calculated by matching up each team against every other team that week to get a total record against the whole league, then if that team won, the formula is: luck = (losses + ties) / (number of teams excluding that team) * 100 and if that team lost, the formula is: luck = 0 - (wins + ties) / (number of teams excluding that team) * 100 This metric is designed to show whether your team was very "lucky" or "unlucky", since a team that would have beaten all but one team this week (second highest score) but lost played the only other team they could have lost to, and a team that would have lost to all but one team this week (second lowest score) but won played the only other team that they could have beaten. Weekly Top Scorers Running list of each week's highest scoring team. Can be used for weekly highest points payouts. Weekly Highest Coaching Efficiency Running list of each week's team with the highest coaching efficiency. Can be used for weekly highest coaching efficiency payouts. Bad Boy Rankings The Bad Boy ranking is a "just-for-fun" metric that pulls NFL player arrest history from the USA Today NFL player arrest database using the NFL Arrest API, and then assigns points to all crimes committed by players on each team's starting lineup to give the team a total bad boy score. The points assigned to each crime can be found here. Beef Rankings The Beef ranking is a "just-for-fun" metric with a made-up unit of measurement, the " TABBU ", which stands for " T rimmed A nd B oneless B eef U nit(s)". The TABBU was derived from the amount of trimmed and boneless beef is produced by one beef cow, based on academic research done for the beef industry found here, and is set as equivalent to 500 lbs. The app pulls player weight data from the Fox Sports API, an example of which can be found here, and uses the total weight of each team's starting lineup, including the rolled-up weights of starting defenses, to give each team a total TABBU score. Page 19 Report generated 2019-Nov-06 22:07:24 for Espn Fantasy Football league 'Official Rhode Island Bowl XII' with id 392249 (https://fantasy.espn.com/apis/v3/games/FFL/seasons/2019/segments/0/leagues/392249).