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12 /12 / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER 27 MID-SEASON TEAM DEFENSE ANALYSIS AND TOP THREE TEAM RATINGS DEFENSE With our new analysis process we are able to quantify who the top defensemen are in the league right now ANALYSIS BREAKTHROUGH STUNS HOCKEY Analysis Process explained WORLD MXMAN It is probably easy to understand why many Before pitchforks are sharpened and torches of these stats are calculated in the process, MXMAN991 but there are a few that will likely need to be assembled and lit, the SMJHL Daily thought it important to explain the process of what went into explained. It has long been said in the SMJHL that it is the analysis process, the methodology, and what is impossible to analyze how good a defensive actually being measured. First, when it comes to plus minus, the player is who does not score or get assists. With a highest plus minus was used to determine modern breakthrough in analytics and analysis This process is not focusing on if a defenseman is the high cap, and the lowest the low cap. however, the SMJHL Daily has had what can only a good point scorer. That can be done in a different That was a point difference of 25 (+ 14 vs – be called a modern day breakthrough that rivals analysis, and honestly is easier to see on a stat sheet 11). That meant if you had 14 you were the invention of penicillin. No, that is not a biased already anyways. If a defenseman has 15 goals and given 100 points, if you were -11 you got 4 opinion by a member of the SMJHL Daily media 10 assists, they are an offensive juggernaut and you points (100 divided by 25).Same process staff, it is a fact. No it is not because this author know that they are good. However, not all was used for penalty minutes. was also the inventor of the analytical process that defenseman in the SHL or even the SMJHL are lead to the break through. Don’t write me and tell point scorers. These stay at home defensive super All other stats where calculated against the me I am biased. You are probably biased because stars don’t play the flashy way, they play the highest that a player had acheived. For you’re jealous. Oh and if you are my editor, I position as it was intended, defensively. They don’t example if 33 hits were the highest in the swear if you delete this from the article again allow shots on their goalies, they hit players off of league, that was considered worth 100 because it is “unprofessional” and not “newspaper the puck, they don’t take penalties to give their points. worthy” I will personally use my self-taught team a disadvantage, and they log long minutes youtube karate to end you. while maintaining a good plus minus record. A total of five categories were considered when running the analysis and the scores So in this analysis process, that is exactly what we were combined to provide a point total measured. How many hits does the player have, against a perfect score of 500. Whatever was how many penalty minutes, what are their plus your player’s total score was then divided minus records, how many shots have they blocked, against that perfect score to give a and lastly, how many minutes are they on the ice. percentage. The highest scoring player was used as a benchmark for all other players to measure themselves against. In this case that player was Zbigniew Pokrywka who was rated at a 99 OVR. This was then used with DEF, Mxman shown here ending his editors life if he GAA, GA and SV% to formulate defensive makes any changes to his article again rankings for all teams. PAGE 1 12 / / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER SMJHL DAILY #1 Anchorage Armada Defensive line grade: C+ Goal tending grade: A++ Anchorage team MVP Ian Venables MXMAN991 Ian Venables is a name that is always in the conversation for the SMJHL MVP award, but this year he might be the only name in the conversation to this point. Ian currently leads the GAA category amongst all qualified goalies and the Save Percentage category as well. Ian is single handily the most important player on the Armada side right now. It would not be surprising in the slightest if Ian was called up to the SHL soon. It must be a gift and a curse to the GM of Anchorage having a player as phenomenal and instrumental to your success on your The Anchorage Armada steams its way into first place squad. At any second San Francisco could decide to sit a cold goalie and call up Ian. With the defense that is in front of him, that would be disastrous for Anchorage’s Anchorage defense is over performing run at the cup with Carolina nipping at their heels. MXMAN991 Only time will tell if Ian will ride out the Defensive Player OVR Rating Anchorage is playing lights out Augustus Wang ANC 81 rest of the year wearing the blue and white. Berry Blue ANC offensively and defensively through the 76 Anchorage fans must pray that for, at least Lando Norris ANC 83 now, San Francisco forgets about their star midway part of the season and their Ulrik Bergstrom (R) ANC 70 rookie in the SMJHL. position atop the standings is in large Shelby Schmackers (R) ANC 61 part due to Ian Venables. Through deep Derek Holdson (R) ANC 42 analysis of its defensive players and overall team rankings and percentages, Augustus Wang is playing well mid way Anchorage has an average defense (4th) through the season, as is Lando Norris that is being lifted by its outstanding and Berry Blue, but they will need to see goalie play. With a combined defensive more performance from their rookies if average rating of 69 OVR, the only they are to sustain their current position categories in which they lead at the top of the leader board. I would not defensively are in goalie save percentage be surprised to see Anchorage go after a which largely determines the other two trade before the deadline and playoffs Promotional picture of Ian Venables from the categories of goals against and goals start of the season. begin. against average. HOT TAKES UNLESS ANC CAN KEEP UP THE HIGH LOOK FOR ANC TO GO AFTER A FINAL WIN PERCENTAGE WILL BE IN GOAL SCORING, THEY WILL DROP IN DEFENSEMAN BEFORE THE TRADE THE HIGH .600’S, NOT THE .700’S AS IT IS THE RANKINGS DEADLINE NOW PAGE 2 12 / / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER SMJHL DAILY #2 Carolina Kraken Defensive line grade: B Goal tending grade: A- Zbigniew Pokrywka’s meteoric rise to stardom MXMAN991 Zbigniew Pokrywka is going to be a household name for fans of hockey in short time if he continues to play great defensive hockey. Only in his second year in the SMJHL and he is already turning heads in the SHL. Halfway through the season and Zbigniew Pokrywka has thrown himself in front of more slapshots than pennies that make up a dollar. Ok not that many, it is only 54, but that is an insane amount. Zbigniew Pokrywka has almost blocked a third of the amount of shots that back up goalie Mike Hroch Promotional banner from their recent 4 Star Cup championship run last season has through 6 games and that’s Mike’s job. Now this article isn’t to say anything bad about Mike Hroch, I just wanted to draw a comparison to an insane stat. Carolina’s Iron wall defense He has also laid down 41 hits, has a positive plus MXMAN991 minus, he’s logging big game time out on the ice, and he’s doing all of this while mostly staying out Defensive Player OVR Rating of the penalty box. This kid is a defensive coach’s The Kraken has an iron grip and Padraig Sarantez CAR 92 dream. Look for big things to come from apparently and iron wall as well. Led by Hans Schweinsteiger CAR 71 Zbigniew Pokrywka throughout his career. SMJHL All Star Zbigniew Pokrywka Zbigniew Pokrywka CAR 99 Wyatt Ruschkoff CAR 55 and the nearly as talented Padraig Eryk Siniskaya (R) CAR 65 Sarantez they make you pay for every Casimir Blaszczyk (R) CAR 60 meter of ice in their defensive zone. If it Daniel Kuster CAR 54 were not for the lights out play of Ian Venables of the Anchorage Armada, Nolan McMahon has yet to heat up this Carolina would easily be the number one season, but if he or his back up Mike rated defense in all of the SMJHL. Hroch does, we may be looking at a Unfortunatly their luck with their goal repeat winner of the Four Star Cup led by tenders has been a bit more down than their impenetrable defensive play. I can’t their cross country rival as they are wait to see Carolina and Anchorage letting up an average of half a goal more battle again in playoffs. a game at the halfway point of the season. Zbigniew Pokrywka’s jersey is bound to be a hot present this holiday season for Carolina Fans HOT TAKES CAROLINA WILL BE TOP WILL BE #1 TEAM LOOK FOR THEM TO DOG IN PLAYOFF RUN REMAIN A CONTENDER BY END OF SEASON THROUGH S53 PAGE 3 12 / / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER SMJHL DAILY #3 HALIFAX RAIDERS Defensive line grade: A Goal tending grade: A Abel Skinner, undervalued asset MXMAN991 Not necessarily the fault of Abel Skinner, but many fans of the SMJHL don’t yet remember his name immediately. That will change soon though if he continues his on ice dominance in the defensive zone. Halifax players, even those who play as great as Abel Skinner often have difficulty being known before they enter the SHL. Maybe it’s the distance to Halifax, or the fact that for so long the franchise has been considered the laughing stock of the Halifax Raiders recently updated their logo in the attempt to gain more fans for their organization SMJHL, but fans normally don’t follow their games much and as such don’t know Strong core is taking form their players, even when they are super stars in the making. With Halifax finally beginning to look like a respectable hockey team out on the MXMAN991 Defensive Player OVR Rating ice, maybe Skinner will be the first player Abel Skinner HFX 89 to break through and be popular while The able hands of Abel Skinner are Adam Barron HFX 75 playing for Halifax. beginning to right the ship for the Haley Knight HFX 82 Halifax Raiders under coach Ed Balls. A Simon Moreau (R) HFX 62 franchise long known for being at the Stefan Alfonso (R) HFX 69 bottom of the pack and producing more Matthew Brundt (R) HFX 65 Izzy Dudemiester (R) HFX 79 headlines from their player’s activities Dank Jelly-Ouuh (R) HFX 56 off the ice (can’t forget that missing hooker case that still hasn’t been solved), the always solid play by Haley Knight in they are beginning to be taken more her third year and Halifax has been serious by teams in the SMJHL. suprisingly hard to score on this season. They may just have a chance to make it The have strong play coming from their past round one in playoffs. Lets not get goalie Biz Nasty and Izzy Dudemeister too excited though huh? Hate to have Abel from his recent promotional picture when has outperfomed what many expected of another hooker go missing in Halifax. he received his A the first year rookie. Tie that in with HOT TAKE HALIFAX WILL SURPRISE LOOK FOR HFX TO TRADE A HFX WILL FINISH THIRD DEFENSEMAN BEFORE THE IN THE PLAYOFFS TRADE DEADLINE IN REGULAR SEASON PAGE 4 12 / / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER SMJHL DAILY Total List of Defense Ranking: 1. Anchorage Armada 2. Carolina Kraken 3. Halifax Raiders 4. Kelowna Knights Line: A- GT: B+ 5. Lethbridge Lions Line: C GT: B 6. Colorado Raptors Line: D GT: B+ 7. Detroit Falcons Line: D- GT: B- 8. St. Louis Scarecrows Line: C- GT: C- 9. Anaheim Outlaws Line: D GT: D Full Player ADJ OVR List Player Team OVR Georgy Gorbachenko COL 65 Abel Skinner HFX 89 Bryce Turner (R) COL 73 Adam Barron HFX 75 Alesky Franciszek COL 51 Haley Knight HFX 82 Joakim Ohlund DET 72 Simon Moreau (R) HFX 62 Lee Samson DET 79 Stefan Alfonso (R) HFX 69 Zach Magoon DET 57 Matthew Brundt (R) HFX 65 Guy O'Shea (R) DET 43 Izzy Dudemiester (R) HFX 79 Brennan Griggs DET 69 Dank Jelly-Ouuh (R) HFX 56 Stacy Jefferson Jr. DET 40 Nicholas Owens ANH 87 Luciano Vessot KEL 80 Jacob Riley ANH 70 Danila Zhernov KEL 94 Ursin Zimmermann ANH 67 Alex Ranch KEL 43 Jaakko Jarvinen ANH 59 Noah Nystrom (R) KEL 84 Alex Petrenko ANH 61 Luke McSquirrelly (R) KEL 68 Rath McLeod ANH 49 Adam Scianna (R) KEL 76 Augustus Wang ANC 81 Delver Fudgeson LET 77 Berry Blue ANC 76 Akira Ren LET 57 Lando Norris ANC 83 Disisde Dayudie LET 83 Ulrik Bergstrom (R) ANC 70 Jack Wilson LET 58 Shelby Schmackers (R) ANC 61 Derek Holdson (R) ANC Cal Clucker LET 56 42 Padraig Sarantez CAR Jakob Hamr LET 76 92 Hans Schweinsteiger CAR 71 Flash Gordon STL 88 Zbigniew Pokrywka CAR 99 Marian Elsner STL 84 Wyatt Ruschkoff CAR 55 Jebany Franciszek (R) STL 64 Eryk Siniskaya (R) CAR 65 Blake Faux STL 71 Casimir Blaszczyk (R) CAR 60 Luc-Pierre Lespineau- Daniel Kuster CAR 54 Lebrunette STL 68 Denver Wolfe COL 67 Gareth Crinnion STL 61 Derek Bohne Jr. COL 81 Tucker Centennial STL 54 Heat Siecker COL 55 Ryszard Franciszek ( R) STL 56 PAGE 5 12 / / 2019 / / ISSUE NUMBER SMJHL DAILY Calculations Table Player Team SB 41 Total H 72 Total P/M 4.1 MP 619 P Total 0.81 Abel Skinner HFX 40 0.976 97.6 21 0.29 29.17 2 14 57.4 549 0.89 88.7 16 88.96 0.72 0.89 Adam Barron HFX 17 0.415 41.5 22 0.31 30.56 4 16 65.6 480 0.78 77.5 14 90.34 0.61 0.75 Haley Knight HFX 28 0.683 68.3 18 0.25 25 3 15 61.5 512 0.83 82.7 6 95.86 0.67 0.82 Simon Moreau (R) HFX 18 0.439 43.9 9 0.13 12.5 1 13 53.3 317 0.51 51.2 12 91.72 0.51 0.62 Stefan Alfonso (R) HFX 19 0.463 46.3 30 0.42 41.67 1 13 53.3 362 0.58 58.5 27 81.37 0.56 0.69 Matthew Brundt (R) HFX 12 0.293 29.3 15 0.21 20.83 9 21 86.1 191 0.31 30.9 4 97.24 0.53 0.65 Izzy Dudemiester (R) HFX 17 0.415 41.5 33 0.46 45.83 8 20 82 443 0.72 71.6 26 82.06 0.65 0.79 Dank Jelly-Ouuh (R) HFX 8 0.195 19.5 4 0.06 5.556 6 18 73.8 187 0.3 30.2 2 98.62 0.46 0.56 Nicholas Owens ANH 31 0.756 75.6 40 0.56 55.56 3 15 61.5 526 0.85 85 34 76.54 0.71 0.87 Jacob Riley ANH 35 0.854 85.4 32 0.44 44.44 -10 2 8.2 405 0.65 65.4 29 79.99 0.57 0.70 Ursin Zimmermann ANH 10 0.244 24.4 18 0.25 25 -1 11 45.1 606 0.98 97.9 28 80.68 0.55 0.67 Jaakko Jarvinen ANH 16 0.39 39 23 0.32 31.94 -10 2 8.2 507 0.82 81.9 27 81.37 0.48 0.60 Alex Petrenko ANH 8 0.195 19.5 25 0.35 34.72 -7 5 20.5 572 0.92 92.4 25 82.75 0.50 0.61 Rath McLeod ANH 10 0.244 24.4 11 0.15 15.28 -11 1 4.1 446 0.72 72.1 25 82.75 0.40 0.49 Augustus Wang ANC 22 0.537 53.7 32 0.44 44.44 1 13 53.3 591 0.95 95.5 25 82.75 0.66 0.81 Berry Blue ANC 8 0.195 19.5 19 0.26 26.39 12 24 98.4 529 0.85 85.5 31 78.61 0.62 0.76 Lando Norris ANC 12 0.293 29.3 22 0.31 30.56 13 25 99 566 0.91 91.4 21 85.51 0.67 0.83 Ulrik Bergstrom (R) ANC 18 0.439 43.9 23 0.32 31.94 2 14 57.4 436 0.7 70.4 27 81.37 0.57 0.70 Shelby Schmackers (R) ANC 15 0.366 36.6 11 0.15 15.28 0 12 49.2 412 0.67 66.6 29 79.99 0.50 0.61 Derek Holdson (R) ANC 4 0.098 9.76 4 0.06 5.556 0 12 49.2 50 0.08 8.08 0 100.00 0.35 0.42 Padraig Sarantez CAR 24 0.585 58.5 58 0.81 80.56 4 16 65.6 583 0.94 94.2 37 74.47 0.75 0.92 Hans Schweinsteiger CAR 10 0.244 24.4 14 0.19 19.44 5 17 69.7 551 0.89 89 21 85.51 0.58 0.71 Zbigniew Pokrywka CAR 54 1.317 132 41 0.57 56.94 3 15 61.5 458 0.74 74 25 82.75 81.38% 1.00 Wyatt Ruschkoff CAR 2 0.049 4.88 4 0.06 5.556 3 15 61.5 450 0.73 72.7 31 78.61 0.45 0.55 Eryk Siniskaya (R) CAR 18 0.439 43.9 15 0.21 20.83 4 16 65.6 300 0.48 48.5 19 86.89 0.53 0.65 Casimir Blaszczyk (R) CAR 2 0.049 4.88 17 0.24 23.61 6 18 73.8 335 0.54 54.1 18 87.58 0.49 0.60 Daniel Kuster CAR 6 0.146 14.6 15 0.21 20.83 -9 3 12.3 549 0.89 88.7 22 84.82 0.44 0.54 Denver Wolfe COL 16 0.39 39 14 0.19 19.44 -2 10 41 578 0.93 93.4 29 79.99 0.55 0.67 Derek Bohne Jr. COL 18 0.439 43.9 35 0.49 48.61 3 15 61.5 563 0.91 91 22 84.82 0.66 0.81 Heat Siecker COL 2 0.049 4.88 9 0.13 12.5 -4 8 32.8 549 0.89 88.7 25 82.75 0.44 0.54 Georgy Gorbachenko COL 14 0.341 34.1 15 0.21 20.83 2 14 57.4 429 0.69 69.3 27 81.37 0.53 0.65 Bryce Turner (R) COL 22 0.537 53.7 20 0.28 27.78 2 14 57.4 429 0.69 69.3 15 89.65 0.60 0.73 Alesky Franciszek COL 6 0.146 14.6 12 0.17 16.67 -2 10 41 217 0.35 35.1 2 98.62 0.41 0.51 Joakim Ohlund DET 26 0.634 63.4 21 0.29 29.17 -4 8 32.8 551 0.89 89 29 79.99 0.59 0.72 Lee Samson DET 24 0.585 58.5 25 0.35 34.72 3 15 61.5 516 0.83 83.4 24 83.44 0.64 0.79 Zach Magoon DET 16 0.39 39 15 0.21 20.83 -7 5 20.5 420 0.68 67.9 24 83.44 0.46 0.57 Guy O'Shea (R) DET 4 0.098 9.76 13 0.18 18.06 -7 5 20.5 209 0.34 33.8 8 94.48 0.35 0.43 Brennan Griggs DET 14 0.341 34.1 22 0.31 30.56 -1 11 45.1 269 0.43 43.5 14 90.34 0.49 0.60 Stacy Jefferson Jr. DET 4 0.098 9.76 0 0 0 0 12 49.2 24 0.04 3.88 3 97.93 0.32 0.40 Luciano Vessot KEL 16 0.39 39 22 0.31 30.56 7 19 77.9 603 0.97 97.4 28 80.68 0.65 0.80 Danila Zhernov KEL 28 0.683 68.3 37 0.51 51.39 11 23 94.3 585 0.95 94.5 39 73.09 0.76 0.94 Alex Ranch KEL 4 0.098 9.76 8 0.11 11.11 -11 2 8.2 402 0.65 64.9 25 82.75 0.35 0.43 Noah Nystrom (R) KEL 18 0.439 43.9 35 0.49 48.61 7 19 77.9 538 0.87 86.9 23 84.13 0.68 0.84 Luke McSquirrelly (R) KEL 20 0.488 48.8 44 0.61 61.11 -10 2 8.2 422 0.68 68.2 12 91.72 0.56 0.68 Adam Scianna (R) KEL 6 0.146 14.6 27 0.38 37.5 9 21 86.1 558 0.9 90.1 26 82.06 0.62 0.76 Delver Fudgeson LET 8 0.195 19.5 19 0.26 26.39 10 22 90.2 597 0.96 96.4 25 82.75 0.63 0.77 Akira Ren LET 4 0.098 9.76 18 0.25 25 -8 4 16.4 568 0.92 91.8 14 90.34 0.47 0.57 Disisde Dayudie LET 16 0.39 39 22 0.31 30.56 10 22 90.2 592 0.96 95.6 23 84.13 0.68 0.83 Jack Wilson LET 10 0.244 24.4 15 0.21 20.83 -9 3 12.3 510 0.82 82.4 8 94.48 0.47 0.58 Cal Clucker LET 8 0.195 19.5 5 0.07 6.944 -2 10 41 491 0.79 79.3 26 82.06 0.46 0.56 Jakob Hamr LET 31 0.756 75.6 29 0.4 40.28 -3 9 36.9 420 0.68 67.9 15 89.65 0.62 0.76 Flash Gordon STL 41 1 99 33 0.46 45.83 -5 7 28.7 619 1 99 22 84.82 0.71 0.88 Marian Elsner STL 32 0.78 78 31 0.43 43.06 -2 10 41 563 0.91 91 14 90.34 0.69 0.84 Jebany Franciszek (R) STL 26 0.634 63.4 7 0.1 9.722 -8 4 16.4 460 0.74 74.3 6 95.86 0.52 0.64 Blake Faux STL 34 0.829 82.9 23 0.32 31.94 -11 2 8.2 516 0.83 83.4 24 83.44 0.58 0.71 Luc-Pierre Lespineau- 1 Lebrunette STL 24 0.585 58.5 72 99 -12 1 4.1 387 0.63 62.5 69 52.39 0.55 0.68 Gareth Crinnion STL 11 0.268 26.8 13 0.18 18.06 4 16 65.6 252 0.41 40.7 4 97.24 0.50 0.61 Tucker Centennial STL 9 0.22 22 14 0.19 19.44 2 14 57.4 194 0.31 31.3 14 90.34 0.44 0.54 Ryszard Franciszek ( R) STL 23 0.561 56.1 4 0.06 5.556 -6 6 24.6 333 0.54 53.8 16 88.96 0.46 0.56 PAGE 6