Russian War Against Ukraine: Energy Dimension DiXi Group alert (status as of 12:00, May 5) Stop russian nuclear terrorism! Set A2/AD and no-fly zones over Ukraine’s nuclear facilities, impose sanctions on Rosatom! Stop the atrocities! Introduce full embargo on russian oil and gas imports! #StopRussianAggression #StandWithUkraine Summary • The enemy continued to strike at Ukraine’s energy infrastructure facilities. Almost 680,000 consumers did not have access to electricity supply, over 230,000 consumers did not have gas supply. • The monitoring system at the Chornobyl NPP was fully restored, and the remote data transmission to the IAEA, which was absent for two months, has been almost completely restored. • The Zaporizhzhia TPP (city of Energodar) was stopped due the lack of coal; due to the Russian occupation, it is impossible to organize fuel supplies. District heating, power and water supply in the city was transferred from ZTPP to the Zaporizhzhia NPP. • Ukraine calls on the EU not to delay the embargo on Russian energy, in particular on oil under the sixth sanctions package. According to the member of Yermak-McFaul group Andrii Pyshnyi, who referred to calculations of Naftogaz, Germany, Austria and Hungary could refuse from using Russian gas, as the negative effect on economies would be less than in the first year of the coronavirus pandemic. Attacks: Donetsk region In the last 24 hours, 12 settlements of the Donetsk region, including Mariupol, Kramatorsk, Avdiivka and Slovyansk were shelled from Tochka-U missile system, multiple launch rocket systems "Grad and “Uragan”, tanks and heavy artillery, with 8 civilians killed, as the National Police reported. The shelling damaged at least 35 civilian facilities, including coking and chemical plants, utilities, residential homes and railways. According to the Donetsk Regional Military Administration Head Pavlo Kyrylenko, on the night of May 5, the Russian army launched a missile strike on residential facilities and the central part of Kramatorsk, having damaged 9 residential facilities and injured 25 civilians. Large-scale shelling in the city of Avdiivka had not stopped for several weeks, power lines had been disconnected in the city, there was no water supply, and electricity and gas supplies were periodically disconnected due to hostilities. The Avdiivka Coking Plant was in the process of conservation after large-scale shelling, with personnel continuing to be on the site. In the city of Mariupol, the Russian occupiers were focusing their efforts on blocking and trying to destroy Ukrainian units at the Azovstal Iron & Steel Works facilities. With the support of aircraft, the enemy managed to break into the plant, where heavy fighting took place. In addition, the occupiers plan to involve civilian men held in the so-called filtration prison in a "parade of prisoners" on May 9 in Mariupol, to be dressed in Ukrainian military uniforms. Luhansk During the day, the Russian troops opened fire 24 times on residential region facilities in the region, and killed at least 5 civilians, reported the Luhansk Regional Military Administration Head Serhii Haidai. At least 23 houses were damaged or destroyed in the settlements of the region, including 8 in Hirske, 4 in Lysychansk, 4 in Severodonetsk, 4 in Novodruzhesk, and 3 in Komyshuvakha. In the cities of Popasna and Rubizhne, food and water reserves would be available for only a week, access to cities was difficult. According to Haidai, the Russians were deliberately targeting hospitals, critical infrastructure, granaries, food warehouses and humanitarian headquarters to cause a humanitarian disaster in the region. Kharkiv region The enemy continued shelling of the city of Kharkiv and the region, reported the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration Head Oleh Syniehubov. During the day, the Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv was hit, where residential buildings, outbuildings and private cars were attacked. Police also managed to prevent the detonation of an infrastructure facility where anti-tank mines and about 10 kg of TNT were discovered. In the Izyum area, the enemy tried to seize the initiative and conduct offensive operations in the direction of Barvinkove, as the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported. To this end, the enemy shelled with artillery on the Ukrainian troops in the settlements of Hrushuvakha, Nova Dmytrivka and Kurulka. In addition, the Russians concentrated up to 40 units of Mi-24 and Mi-8 helicopters on the territory of the Belgorod region in the immediate proximity of the border with Ukraine. Sumy and The Russians continued to shell the border areas, reported the State Border Chernihiv Guard Service of Ukraine. During the day, mortar and grenade attacks on the regions border area were recorded within the Horodnya and Semenivka districts of the Chernihiv region and the Shostka district of the Sumy region. In total, the enemy fired about 70 mortar shots from weapons of various calibers and 24 shots from an automatic grenade launcher on the territory of Ukraine near the border. So far, there were no casualties reported. Mykolaiv According to the Operational Command "South", the enemy mercilessly fired region the city of Mykolaiv with multiple fire systems with use of the forbidden cluster shells. In an effort to inflict maximum damage, the Russians attacked residential and industrial neighborhoods, resulting in damage to gas and electricity networks, substations, industrial facilities and private homes. In addition, the zoo and a school, as well as the power network of public transport, were damaged. Information about the victims was being clarified. Due to the damage of the Dnipro-Mykolaiv water supply system, the situation with water supply was being resolved by local authorities and with the humanitarian support of neighboring regions. According to the Mykolaiv Regional Military Administration Head Vitalii Kim, water supply in the city would probably be restored by May 15. Kherson region In the north of Kherson and in Mykolaiv regions the enemy fired on the settlements from which it has retreated, in particular destroying residential quarters and private households, reported the Operational Command "South". There was no possibility of entering and leaving the temporarily occupied territories of the Kherson region. Information has appeared in the Russian information space that the occupiers have begun to restore freight and rail connections between the occupied south of Ukraine and the annexed Crimea. In addition, leaders of the occupation "administrations" in the Kherson region planned to close access to Facebook and Instagram, as well as other groups that "discredit the region and act as extremist organizations". Mobile communication of all Ukrainian operators, which was absent since April 30, was fully restored on May 4. Dnipropetrovsk According to the Dnipropetrovsk Regional Military Administration Head region Valentyn Reznichenko, during the day the enemy fired on 2 villages in the Velyka Mykhailivka community and damaged residential houses and educational facilities. Later, the enemy fired a missile at the center of Dnipro, damaging railway infrastructure, as a result of which the movement of trains was stopped. According to Reznichenko, Russia fired two missiles, one of which was shot down by the Ukrainian air defense forces. Kirovohrad The Russian troops launched a missile strike on the infrastructure facility, no region one was injured as a result, reported the Kirovohrad Regional Military Administration Head Andrii Raykovych. Damage to the According to the Ministry of Environmental Protection and Natural environment Resources, due to the actions of Russian warships off the coast of the Odesa region, the facts of dolphins dying were recorded. Military sonars have a negative impact on animals’ health. Also, attacks by the Russian troops along shores of the Black and Azov seas are leading to water pollution and the spread of toxins in seawater. According to preliminary estimates of the Ministry, the losses of forestry enterprises from the Russian military aggression reached 13.2 billion UAH. In the forests which have been under occupation, buildings and vehicles were destroyed, equipment was stolen; demining and clearing of military equipment was underway at most facilities. In addition, the fighting causes forest fires, which occur three times more often than last year, and the average area of fires has increased 16 times. Nuclear and Radiation Safety: As of 08:00 on May 5, all operating NPPs of Ukraine are operating normally, and the radiation, fire and environmental conditions at the station sites and adjacent territories are within the standards. 7 out of 15 nuclear units were in operation (two each at Zaporizhzhia, South Ukraine and Rivne and one at Khmelnytskyi NPP), the other 8 were under maintenance or put in reserve. All NPPs regularly transmit data from station monitoring systems to the IAEA. Meanwhile, in April, Energoatom paid in full all its loan obligations, including those to the EBRD, the Central Storage Safety Project Trust (U.S.), and Ukrainian banks. Chornobyl NPP Exclusion Zone The Chornobyl NPP has completely resumed its monitoring system. Also, due to the introduction of new satellite channels, the remote data transmission to the IAEA, which was absent for two months, has been almost completely restored. In addition, works on dust suppression have resumed at the Chornobyl NPP. Appropriate activity was carried out in the Shelter Operation Shop and the New Safe Confinement on May 1-2 to limit the spread of radioactive substances in the facility. Meanwhile, demining continues in the Exclusion Zone. Unfortunately, rescuers from the State Emergency Service (SES) blew up on a mine in the forest area; two people were hospitalized with injuries of varying severity. Another 5 mines were found and neutralized near the detonation site. At the same time, a forest fire was recorded near the Dytyatky checkpoint, which is being fought by SES and pyrotechnic specialists. 33 rescuers and 13 units of equipment were involved in localizing and extinguishing the fire. Zaporizhzhia NPP For more than two months, the Zaporizhzhia NPP and the satellite city of Energodar have been under the control of Russian terrorists. ZNPP power units are serviced by Ukrainian staff with proper rotation. However, the nuclear and radiation safety of the station is under constant threat. As of May 5, the radiation background on the territory of ZNPP site and the sanitary protection zone remains stable in the range of 8-12 μR/h. At the same time, the occupiers have illegally forbidden the ZNPP management to leave the city (even on business). In particular, the station's chief engineer Yurii Chernychuk was unable to take part in the annual meeting of the Energoatom Council of Chief Engineers, which discussed issues of physical safety of nuclear facilities, nuclear and radiation safety, operation and maintenance of nuclear facilities, and approved measures to substitute supplies of spare parts and components from companies that are directly or partially related to Russia. The specialist was taken from the checkpoint to the FSB officers for questioning, after which Chernychuk and other ZNPP management were forbidden to leave the city. On his part, the IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi met with the CEO of Rosatom Alexei Likhachev to discuss security of the Zaporizhzhia NPP. However, based on the IAEA report, Grossi only reiterated the crucial importance of the issue and expressed the Agency's readiness to participate directly in the process (without specifying an action plan). The presence of Russian terrorists at nuclear facilities poses extremely high threats to nuclear and radiation safety on a global scale! Ukraine demands to recognize the actions of Russia and Rosatom as nuclear terrorism, which aims to intentionally violate the security of nuclear power plants, international law and basic human rights with the aim of genocide, ecocide and encroachment on the country's sovereignty. We call on international partners to increase pressure on the IAEA, whose actions may prevent acts of nuclear terrorism by Russia. At the same time, it is critical to minimize Russia's influence on IAEA policies and activities, in particular by removing all Russians from key positions in the Agency's Secretariat and restricting their access to information about Ukraine's nuclear power plants. We also emphasize the need to impose tough sanctions on the management, staff, products, international projects of Rosatom and, in general, the nuclear industry of the aggressor country! Electricity Sector: Power system operation Ukraine's power system has been stably operating in trial synchronous mode with the Continental Europe network (ENTSO-E). The current cross-border capacity is 2 GW, however, the trial mode does not provide for full-fledged exports/imports of electricity. Commercial exports of electricity to Poland via the Dobrotvirska TPP-Zamost transmission line remained at the maximum level (210 MW) during the day. All types of power plants continue to operate on a dispatching schedule. However, due the lack of coal in the station's warehouse, the Zaporizhzhia TPP (Energodar) was forced to be stopped. At the same time, due to the Russian occupation and hostilities in the south of Ukraine, it is currently impossible to organize regular fuel supplies to the station. Therefore, in the city of Energodar, district heating, power and water supply was transferred from ZTPP to the Zaporizhzhia NPP. Ukrenergo continued to restore main power networks of the affected regions. On the night of May 3, one of the 220 kV substations in the Zakarpattia region was put into operation. At the same time, in the east of Ukraine, a 330 kV line was put into operation, which is the source of electricity supply for the region. In the Kyiv region, emergency repair of a transformer at one of the substations was completed and a 750 kV overhead line was reconnected to the grid, which increased the reliability of electricity supply to the capital and the entire Northern power system. Repairs on 750 kV and 330 kV lines and substations in the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions were underway. At the same time, together with the sappers, safe sites were being prepared for the next stages of repairs. Electricity market performance Day-ahead market (DAM): For May 5, the DAM weighted average settlement price practically has not changed and amounted to 2,346.97 UAH/MWh (+0.5% vs the previous trading day). At the same time, the trend of moderate growth of exchange prices in the Eastern European markets led to a slight increase in their gap with Ukraine. Prices in the markets of Romania, Slovakia and Hungary were app. 3.2-3.3 times higher than the Base DAM price index of Ukraine, while the price spread with the Polish market has increased to 2.3 times. As for May 5, the total volume of trading on DAM - after positive dynamics in the last four days - decreased to 35,616.2 MWh (-10.1% vs the previous day). At the same time, the opposite trend of reducing the volume of sale bids to 87,019.2 MWh (-19.5%) led to a further significant decrease in market surplus. The gap with the volume of purchase bids decreased from 2.7 to 2.4 times. The structure of electricity purchase on DAM has somewhat changed: 88.9% belonged to suppliers, 10.9% to system operators, 0.2% to traders and producers. Intraday market (IDM): On May 4, the weighted average price of electricity on IDM decreased to 2,794.29 UAH/MWh (-0.8% vs the previous day). At the same time, the decline in volume of trading, which decreased by a third to 330 MWh, significantly intensified. With the moderate increase in the volume of sale bids to 32,799.9 MWh (+2.8%), the market surplus continued to grow significantly - the gap with the volume of purchase bids increased from 64 to 99 times. The structure of purchase on IDM remains unstable and subject to significant fluctuations: major part was occupied by suppliers (92.1%), while 6.2% belonged to network operators and 1.7% to producers. Disruption and resumption of supply According to the Cabinet of Ministers, as of 20:00 on May 4, 815 settlements were disconnected from electricity, a total of 680,000 consumers. During the day, electricity supply was resumed to more than 129 500 consumers. Large-scale power supply disruptions and, consequently, active recovery works were taking place: • in the Donetsk region, according to DTEK, supplies to 31,400 consumers in 17 settlements were resumed; 99 settlements (according to the Cabinet of Ministers, over 302,000 consumers) remained without electricity supply; • in the Luhansk region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply to 1,500 consumers was resumed during the day; 97,800 consumers were with no electricity supply; • in the Kharkiv region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply was resumed to 3,500 consumers during the day; 176,500 consumers were still with no electricity supply; • in the Kyiv region, according to DTEK, supply to 1,016 consumers was resumed during the day; • in the Zaporizhzhia region, as of 20:00 on May 5, 22,615 consumers in 73 settlements were left without electricity supply; a 150 kV transmission line was restored during the day; • in the Mykolaiv region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supplies to 400 consumers were resumed during the day; • in the Lviv region, supply to 85,000 consumers, which was suspended due to missile strikes on the infrastructure of the region, was resumed during the day; • in the Zakarpattia region, supply to 7,800 consumers, affected by a missile strike, was resumed during the day; • there was no up-to-date information on power supply in the Kherson, Sumy, Chernihiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions at the time of the review preparation. Gas Sector: As of May 3, the transit of Russian gas through the territory of Ukraine almost did not change as compared to the previous day level and amounted to 98.7 mcm. At the same time, these volumes still account for less than the capacity contracted by Gazprom (109 mcm per day). There were no physical imports of gas from the EU. Gas transit through Ukraine (at Sokhranivka and Sudzha interconnection points), mcm Source: GTSOU Disruption and resumption of supply The Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Kherson, and Mykolaiv regions had the most challenging situation in gas supply. According to the Cabinet of Ministers, as of 20:00 on May 4, over 230,000 consumers were left with no gas supply. The Luhansk Regional Military Administration Head Serhii Haidai reported gas supply was partially restored in 2 settlements, yet constant occupiers' shelling prevented more thorough repairs. In total, as of May 5, 6 settlements remained with gas supply (3 completely and 3 partially, 45,375 consumers). The Kharkiv Regional Military Administration Head Oleh Syniehubov reported that 100,000 consumers were left without gas supply due to damage to the main pipeline in the Derhachi district. According to the Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration, as of the morning on May 5, the situation didn’t change: 68,709 consumers in 86 settlements remained without gas supply. The local DSO reported the resumption of gas distribution to 15 households in Zaporizhzhia. According to the Kyiv Regional Military Administration, gas supply distribution was restored in 118 settlements (117 completely, 1 partially; 124,077 consumer facilities). 618 consumer facilities in 2 settlements of the Bucha district (the villages of Moshchun and Pochepyn) remained without gas supply. Restoration works in the city of Irpin were underway; in total, gas supply was resumed to 41% of facilities (17,181 consumers). The Mykolaiv Regional Military Administration reported that, as of May 4, the number of damaged infrastructure facilities amounted to 111, and 1,792 consumers remained without gas supply. Restoration works were underway. In the Kherson region, as of May 4, the Velyka Oleksandrivka, Vysokopillia, Mylove, and Novovorontsovka communities remained without gas supply. Replenishment of LPG reserves for the households’ needs also remained a problem. In the Chernihiv region, the local DSO reported on the reconstruction works carried out after the liberation in 5 settlements of the Bobrovytsia district. In particular, 135 meters of gas distribution pipelines and 24 inlets were restored. Operational information on gas supply in the Donetsk and Sumy regions was not available at the time of the review preparation. Countermeasures of Ukrainian Companies and Public Authorities The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Dmytro Kuleba urged the EU partners not to delay the embargo on Russian energy resources, emphasizing that those, who oppose these steps, are, in fact, complicit in Russia's crimes in Ukraine. According to Kuleba, if any country in the EU continues to block the embargo on Russian oil, there will be every reason to say it is complicit in Russia's war crimes in Ukraine and should share the responsibility with the aggressor. The Minister of Energy of Ukraine Herman Halushchenko stated that the oil embargo, which the EU is considering under the sixth sanctions package against Russia, is one of the key steps to limit Putin's ability to finance the war. At the same time, the position of Hungary, which does not aim to pay or take responsibility for peace in the region, raises many issues. With reference to the European media, Halushchenko also reported on various schemes to bypass the restrictions currently used by Russia. In particular, Urals oil is being renamed, e.g. to "Turkmen blend", transported by tankers marked "destination unknown", and unloaded to other vessels in neutral waters. The former CEO of Oschadbank and member of the International Working Group on Sanctions against Russia (Yermak-McFaul group) Andrii Pyshnyi stated in an interview, referring to calculations of Naftogaz, that Germany, Austria and Hungary could still refuse from using Russian gas. The negative effect on economies of these countries would be less than in the first year of the coronavirus pandemic. According to him, an important factor is the reluctance of powerful players associated with Russia to lose profits. The Minister of Economy of Ukraine Yulia Svyrydenko explained there was a temporary deficit of motor fuel in Ukraine due to the fact that the Russian occupiers destroyed the Kremenchuk refinery and a number of fuel depots. The market is also experiencing excessive demand, which may be caused by panic among the consumers. According to her, the government will release 70,000 tons of petroleum and about 40,000 tons of diesel fuel on the market to reduce the deficit. According to the statements of the Minister of Energy of Ukraine Herman Halushchenko and the Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy of the United Kingdom Kwasi Kwarteng, Ukraine will receive another series of 570 mobile generators as assistance. In particular, generators will be used for sustainable power supply of hospitals, shelters, communication stations, and water supply facilities. In addition, 10 communities in Kyiv received humanitarian aid packages from the U-LEAD with Europe Program, including mobile generators. The Czech gas TSO NET4GAS recently passed a powerful 68 kVA diesel generator to GTSOU to help repair main gas pipelines. Sources: The alerts are developed based on collected, verified, and analyzed information reports of over 100 official sources: ministries, state agencies, network operators, and energy companies. Information was collected only from official websites and official social media accounts. For subscriptions, comments and other questions, please email to: author@dixigroup.org SUPPORT UKRAINIAN ENERGY SECTOR Prior to transferring funds, please email to the Energy Community Secretariat SUPPORT UKRAINIAN ARMY To financially support Heroic Ukrainian Army, please follow the link (The National Bank of Ukraine)
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