THE FUTURE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES: C HALLENGES TO COL - LECTIVE DEFENCE IN THE MODERN ERA Presented by Coriolis Technologies London, September 18-19, 2019. Goodenough College, Mecklenburgh Square, Holborn, London WC1N 2AB. The global strategic landscape faces unprecedented disruption. Increased competition between the great powers has combined with populist political movements and the rise of nationalism to threaten the very fabric of the rules-based world order. Against this turbulent backdrop, this inaugural event brings together pre- eminent speakers to address the key threats and challenges faced in security and defence as a result of the shifting poles of global economic and political influence. At this thought-provoking and productive The Future of Trade is Data... forum on the future direction of strategic studies, attendees will have the opportunity to hear from some of the Don't be lef t behind world’s leading experts in their fields address such topics as: • What are the strategic challenges we currently face, and what are the challenges we may face in the future? • How do we meet these challenges? Delegates will benefit from a variety of formats, from debates to • Are classical strategic theories still formal presentations, break-outs and panels, providing excellent applicable? opportunities for frank discussion and knowledge sharing. The event will conclude with a networking reception, hosted by • Can we draw lessons from the past? Coriolis Technologies, which invites participants to the launch of MultiLateral Thinking: a new approach to understanding the • What are the key factors at play reality of trade and finance flows and how they relate to conflict. in making sense of increasingly hostile rhetoric? DAY ONE: Wednesday, September 18, 2019 09.00 Opening remarks and welcome 10.00 War, peace and world orders 11.15 Networking break Moderator: Oliver Barton (Principle Policy Analyst, DSTL, MoD) Jack Harding, co-author, The Weaponization of Trade; PhD candidate, In recent years, the post-war liberal international order has come under threat, Participants: Dr. Hiroshi Nakatani (Independent Researcher); Dr. Andrew 11.45 Nuclear Strategy in the Age of Complexity Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Glasgow, and challenged by a variety of forces. Developments in the west have shaken Futter (University of Leicester) Hiroshi Nakatani, PhD, specialist in strategic theories and nuclear deterrence. multilateral institutions to their core, from the UK’s vote in favour of Brexit, What are the nuclear strategies of the twenty-first century? Nuclear politics which has called existing security arrangements with European partners into has returned to the international stage with arguably more complexity and 13.00 Lunch and second keynote 09.15 Keynote question; to the United States’ increasing reluctance to commit to ongoing uncertainty than at any point in the past, meaning the answer to this question collective defence through NATO. Meanwhile, China’s growing global influence is ambiguous. The events of the Cold War cast a long shadow, most keenly felt Speaker: Dr. Dennis DeTray, (Nazarbayev University Board of Directors, and the militarisation of the South China Sea have called its ‘peaceful rise’ in the form of the ‘nuclear taboo’, which colours both public opinion and policy Kazakhstan) will speak about his work on US COIN strategy in 2010 and 2011 Speaker: General Sir John Kiszely, Former Assistant Chief of the Defence into question, while the consequences of Russia’s increasingly proactive and direction. Nevertheless, the challenge of nuclear strategy in the current security as a member of an assessment team in Iraq and as an advisor to the 173rd Staff, and Director General of the Defence Academy. assertive behaviour have begun to be felt across the world. This panel will environment must be urgently addressed for the future of human civilisation. Airborne Brigade combat team in Afghanistan. focus on the often-conflicting aims and objectives of the world’s great powers, This panel will therefore cover the following: and the strategic challenges facing multilateral collective defence institutions as a result. • Why nuclear weapons are likely here to stay, and what the impact of new technology will be on nuclear strategy and the future of Britain’s nuclear Moderator: Prof. Beatrice Heuser, Author of ‘The Evolution of Strategy’ and deterrence. Chair of International Relations at the University of Glasgow. • What are the intersections between the nuclear dimension of strategic policy and new dimensions such as cyber? Participants: Dr Masashi Okuyama (Aoyama Gakuin Univesity), Dr Derek • How is deterrence strategy shaped by emerging technologies, domestic Yuen (University of Hong Kong) narratives and social factors? DAY ONE: Wednesday, September 18, 2019 14.30 Conflict and economics 15.45 Networking break Moderator: Prof. Christopher Coker, (LSE) author of the ‘Rise of the Civilizational State’ and ‘Rebooting Clausewitz’ The new challenges to Western hegemony in the shape of growing Chinese and 16.15 The future of war Russian influence have led to a transition in the nature of the West’s strategic Prof. David Betz, (King’s College London); Dr. Bleddyn Bowen (University of thinking; many security strategies now draw less of a distinction between economic Leicester) In today’s inter-connected world, the digital dimension cannot be overlooked when and political means. Gen. James Cartwright recently argued that the US’s formulating military and defence strategy. Recent experience has shown the far- traditional compartmentalisation of strategy into soft and hard power not only reaching implications of information wars and their ability to create a climate of 17.30 Closing remarks no longer holds relevance, but is a strategic misstep. Meanwhile Larry Kudlow, tension, destabilise societies, and even advance an assailant’s ideology among Professor Brian Holden-Reid (KCL) ‘Predictions of War’. economic advisor to Donald Trump, recently referred to the US Ex-Im Bank as a population. This session will begin with a presentation by Prof. Christopher ‘a national security weapon’. This panel will address the nexus between war and Coker, LSE, on artificial intelligence (AI), war and the concept of the digital warrior 18.00-20.00 Drinks Reception and book launch economics through a discussion of topics including: followed by a panel discussion on: • the implications of counterinsurgency for international development Dinner & third keynote • How humans will deal with increasingly digitalised warfare and the impact Professor Jamie Shea, University of Exeter and Former Deputy Assistant • ‘strategic trade’ and its implications for global security this will have on the entrenched tactics and strategies of conventional military • dual-use goods proliferation and how monitoring goods flows can predict the Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges at NATO forces. onset of political crises • Emerging strategic dimensions: cyber, space, drones, robots and the “unknowns”. Moderator: Dr. Rebecca Harding, CEO Coriolis Technologies Ltd • Novel methodologies in the face of the strategic issues that are likely to emerge in the future of war. Participants: Marie-Hélène Bérard (CEO, MHB SAS); Mirka Skrzypczak (Head of Working Capital and Trade Products at NatWest ); Jack Harding (Glasgow University, Head of Strategy, Coriolis Technologies Ltd). DAY T WO: Thursday, September 19, 2019 09.00 – 09.10 Opening remarks and welcome As such, empirical studies on the subject are rare and yet, as threats from posed for diplomacy and conflict resolution in today’s febrile environment. terrorism continue to mount, it is essential to improve our understanding of how Speakers will include current and former ambassadors and diplomats who will intelligence relates to and enhances more conventional areas of strategy. discuss the balance between economic and military means in foreign policy and 09.10 – 09.45 Keynote what the future holds for institutions such as the EU and NATO. Hosted by Coriolis Tec hnologies in Moderator: Professor Julian Richards, University of Buckingham and Speaker: Brigadier Kevin Copsey, Head Future Force Development, UK Director of Centre for Security and Intelligence Studies Moderator: Dr. Rebecca Harding, CEO Coriolis Technologies Ltd conjunction wit h collaborators in Ministry of Defence Dr. Claudia Hillebrand, Senior Lecturer in International Relations. Dr. Participants: Thomas Matussek, Former German ambassador to UK and This keynote address will focus on the myriad ways in which the world has Gordon Woo, UCL and Risk Management Solutions. Dr. Adam Svendsen former Permanent Representative of Germany to the UN. Stephen Evans, Multilateral Thinking become even more uncertain and volatile since 2015, the new and emerging Independent Researcher. Former UK ambassador to Afghanistan and former NATO Assistant Secretary challenges to western strategic and defence policy and how the British army General for Operations. is adapting to meet these challenges. 11.15 Networking break 13.00 Formal close of the conference 09.45 Intelligence and counterterrorism 11.45 Diplomacy Following the UK’s decision to leave the European Union, the future of In recent years, economic and military means have become intertwined existing intelligence sharing arrangements have been called into question. and the rhetoric between allies is increasingly hostile. There are myriad However, as the attempted assassination of Sergei Skripal demonstrated challenges to existing international institutional structures as former partners in 2018, continued collaboration and cooperation between allies in the are branded the ‘enemies across the table’. Given escalating tensions field of intelligence is of crucial importance to collective defence and the between great powers and rising threats from the missile programmes of maintenance of international rule of law. Intelligence’s inherently clandestine Iran and North Korea, diplomacy is arguably more important than ever. This nature means it is often seen as the “missing” dimension of strategic studies. fascinating panel concludes the conference with a reflection on the challenges WEBSITE EMAIL SOCIAL The future of trade is data... Don't be lef t behind coriolistechnologies.com support@coriolistechnologies.com @CoriTradeTech www.linkedin.com/compa- ny/coriolis-tradetech/ The Future of Trade is Data... Don't be lef t behind
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