Russian War Against Ukraine: Energy Dimension DiXi Group alert (status as of 12:00, April 30) Stop russian nuclear terrorism! Set A2/AD and no-fly zones over Ukraine’s nuclear facilities, impose sanctions on Rosatom! Stop the atrocities! Introduce full embargo on russian oil and gas imports! #StopRussianAggression #StandWithUkraine Summary • Over 4.6 million people in Ukraine have problems with access to drinking water, and 1.4 million do not have access to safe drinking water at all. • App. 710,600 consumers do not рфму access to electricity supply, over 213,000 consumers do not have gas supply. • The group of terrorists from Rosatom acts at the Zaporizhzhia NPP, demanding daily reports from the management of the plant. The IAEA efforts did not lead to unblocking the ZNPP. • The government approved the Strategy of Integrated Automated Radiation Monitoring System by 2024. • The gas prices for households (under basic annual offers) and businesses that perform vital functions for the state defense will remain at the level of 8 UAH/cm - Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal. • The government increased the marginal premium on prices of petroleum and diesel, aiming to solve the problem of fuel deficit in the Ukrainian market. Attacks: As a result of the war in Ukraine, more than 4.6 million people have problems with access to drinking water, and 1.4 million Ukrainians do not have access to safe drinking water at all, reported the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources of Ukraine. Damage to water supply, sewerage and public utilities threatens accidental pollution of rivers. In addition, due to the Russian attacks on infrastructure along the Black Sea and the Azov Sea shores and on anchored vessels, water pollution and toxins are spreading at seas. Donetsk region In the last 24 hours, 12 settlements of the Donetsk region, including Mariupol, Lyman and Avdiivka were shelled from aircraft, multiple rocket launch systems "Grad", tanks and heavy artillery, 4 civilians were killed and 8 were injured, as the National Police reported. The shelling damaged at least 36 residential facilities, including homes, educational and medical facilities, an industrial plant, and railway infrastructure. Due to active hostilities, the infrastructure for water intake, treatment and supply, as well as sewage treatment in the cities of Mariupol, Druzhkivka, Vuhledar, Toretsk, Volnovakha district and Yasynuvata community were damaged. The enemy continued to launch air strikes on Mariupol, in particular on the Azovstal Iron & Steel Works facilities, which houses over a thousand Ukrainian military and civilians, including people with injuries of varying severity. The world is ready to help save the people of Mariupol from Russian bombing, but the Russian side rejects all proposals, reported the Advisor to the Head of the Presidential Office Mykhailo Podolyak. The occupiers continued to rob the surviving objects, in particular, the City Council reported that dozens of ventilators were removed from medical facilities to Russia. The Russian occupiers distributed leaflets entitled "Basic Issues", which contained information on restrictions on movement, freedoms and rights of citizens, as well as the introduction of total control over the city residents. Luhansk The enemy continued to fire on the free settlements of the region, tried to region break through the defenses of the cities of Rubizhne, Popasna and the Hirske community, and fighting continued in the town of Nyzhnie, reported the Luhansk Regional Military Administration Head Serhii Haidai. During the day, the enemy launched 16 massive artillery attacks, as a result of which 20 houses and 2 educational institutions were destroyed. According to Serhii Haidai, more than 70% of each settlement had been destroyed. In addition, the Russians had managed to seize the uniform of Ukrainian military, which they plan to use for provocations and killing civilians. Kharkiv region According to the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, during the day the occupiers continued to shell the city of Kharkiv, settlements of the Bohodukhiv, Izyum and Lozova districts. As a result of artillery and mortar strikes, 1 person was killed and 5 were injured. The Kharkiv Regional Military Administration Head Oleh Syniehubov reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have liberated from the Russian invaders and taken full control of the village of Ruska Lozova, from the territory of which the enemy fired artillery at peaceful areas of Kharkiv. Sumy region In the afternoon of April 29, a Russian Mi-8 helicopter fired unguided missiles at the northeastern areas of Sumy region, and no military or civilian casualties were recorded, as reported the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine. Mykolaiv According to the Operational Command "South", in the area of Mykolaiv, the region Russian military continued to fire at the settlements from which they retreated. Law enforcement officers managed to detain Russian servicemen from a group trying to seize the South Ukraine NPP. Besides, a cache with anti-tank munitions of the Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group, which prepared terrorist attacks in Mykolaiv, was found. According to the Mykolaiv Regional Military Administration, as of April 30, since the beginning of the Russian invasion, 2,983 residential facilities were partially or completely damaged in the region, in particular 2,154 housing, 242 electricity, 109 gas, 49 heat and 8 water supply facilities. For more than 2 weeks, the city's residents have been suffering without water supply due to damage to the Dnipro-Mykolaiv water supply system. To help citizens, drinking and technical water was supplied from other cities, in particular 420 tons of artesian water arrived from the city of Vinnytsia. Kherson region According to the Security Service of Ukraine, the so-called "heads" of the Kherson regional and city administrations, who were appointed as "leaders" of the occupied territories of the region by the occupiers, have been declared suspected of treason and face life sentences. One of the traitors reported that the occupying authorities have allegedly started paying pensions in rubles, and that a so-called "referendum" was no longer planned. Zaporizhzhia According to the Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration, the Russians region did not stop artillery shelling and attempts to attack in the direction of Zaporizhzhia. As of April 30, 594 households in the region were completely destroyed or partially damaged, including 22 in the last 24 hours. On the morning of April 30, a 35 kV overhead line was damaged due to hostilities, and 14 settlements were left without power supply; repair of the damage was planned for the day. In addition, in the city of Orikhiv, as a result of shelling, wheat reserves caught fire in one of the buildings of an agricultural enterprise. Dnipropetrovsk In the evening of April 29, the Russian troops fired the villages of Velyka region Kostromka and Mala Kostromka in the Zelenodolsk community from multiple rocket launch systems “Uragan”, reported the Dnipropetrovsk Regional Military Administration Head Valentyn Reznichenko. As a result of the shelling, residential facilities were damaged but no one was killed. Nuclear and Radiation Safety: As of April 30, all operating NPPs of Ukraine were operating stably, and the radiation, fire and environmental conditions at the station sites and adjacent territories were within the standards. 7 of 15 operating nuclear units were in operation (two each at the Zaporizhzhia, South Ukraine, and Rivne NPPs, and one at the Khmelnytskyi NPP), the other 8 were under maintenance or put in reserve. All operating NPPs regularly transmit data from station monitoring systems to the IAEA. Pursuant to the decision of the National Security and Defense Council No. 111 of March 23, 2021, the government approved the Strategy of Integrated Automated Radiation Monitoring System by 2024. Among the expected results of the strategy are: • creation of a single integrated radiation monitoring system with access to real-time results; • synchronization of the Ukrainian radiation monitoring system with the EURDEP; • introduction of early warning mechanisms for citizens and forecasting of radiation situation developments in Ukraine at cross-border transfer of radioactive materials. The Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources of Ukraine reminded that various authorites in Ukraine conduct radiation monitoring - Energoatom, the State Agency on the Exclusion Zone Management, the State Space Agency, the National Academy of Sciences, and the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center at the State Emergency Service. They provide only sectoral observations of the radiation environment. Chornobyl NPP Exclusion Zone According to the IAEA, remote transmission of data from the Chornobyl NPP site to the Agency's headquarters in Vienna is gradually being resumed after the IAEA specialists upgraded the on-site automatic monitoring systems and deployed new data transmission channels based on satellite technology. Zaporizhzhia NPP The Zaporizhzhia NPP and the satellite city of Energodar have been under the control of Russian terrorists for 58 days. The Russian military and representatives of Rosatom (Rosenergoatom) are still on the site. The IAEA, citing the State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate of Ukraine, reported that Rosenergoatom (a division of Rosatom) had sent a group of eight nuclear specialists to the Zaporizhzhya NPP. This terrorist group demands daily reports from the plant's management on confidential issues of NPP operation related to the administration and management, maintenance and repairs, security and access control, as well as the management of nuclear fuel, spent fuel and radioactive waste. According to reports, the Russians cannot understand how the internal processes that have been digilatalized are working. Speaking to the Polish media, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi said that Ukraine had officially asked the IAEA to help unblock the Zaporizhzhia NPP. Instead, the Russian leadership and some international partners offered to transfer the facility under Russian control. Ukraine has refused to do so. According to Zelenskyi, he still does not see the possibility of the IAEA unblocking the nuclear power plant, even after the Russians fired from tanks and armored vehicles on the NPP units. As of April 30, the environmental, fire and radiation conditions on the ZNPP site and the sanitary protection zone are within the standards. In the Zaporizhzhia region, the gamma background is stable (7-12 μR/h) and does not pose a threat to life and public health. South Ukraine NPP As of April 30, the South Ukraine NPP units are operating normally, the radiation background at the industrial site is 0.12 μSv/h. The Security Service of Ukraine reported the detention of three Russian servicemen in the Voznesensk district, who were hiding in abandoned buildings near the city. The investigators have discovered they were part of a hostile group that took part in the attempts to seize the South Ukraine NPP. As part of the Russian military units, the occupiers shelled the region, including places of compact residence of civilians. Besides, the SSU found a cache with anti-tank munitions (‘Kornet’ missile system and grenade launchers produced in Russia) of the Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group, who planned to commit terrorist acts in Mykolaiv. The presence of Russian terrorists at nuclear facilities poses extremely high threats to nuclear and radiation safety on a global scale! Ukraine demands to recognize the actions of Russia and Rosatom as nuclear terrorism, which aims to intentionally violate the security of nuclear power plants, international law and basic human rights with the aim of genocide, ecocide and encroachment on the country's sovereignty. We call on international partners to increase pressure on the IAEA, whose actions may prevent acts of nuclear terrorism by Russia. At the same time, it is critical to minimize Russia's influence on IAEA policies and activities, in particular by removing all Russians from key positions in the Agency's Secretariat and restricting their access to information about Ukraine's nuclear power plants. We also emphasize the need to impose tough sanctions on the management, staff, products, international projects of Rosatom and, in general, the nuclear energy of the aggressor country! Electricity Sector: Power system operation For almost a month and a half, Ukraine's power system has been stably operating in trial synchronous mode with the Continental Europe network (ENTSO-E). Commercial electricity exports to Poland continued stably at 190 MW, except for the last two hours of the day (55-125 MW). At the same time, consumption in the energy system remains stable and shows a tendency to increase. Ukrenergo continued to restore the main power networks of the affected regions. In particular, two more 330 kV lines in the Kyiv and Chernihiv regions have been repaired and are being prepared for reconnection. Repair crews at these sites have already inspected 140 kilometers of networks, replaced 7 towers and repaired several dozen broken wires. At the same time, sappers neutralized more than 20 anti-tank mines near power line towers. In the Kyiv region, reconstruction of two lines (330 kV and 750 kV) was underway. Electricity market performance Day-ahead market (DAM): For April 30, the DAM weighted average settlement price has slightly increased and amounted to 2,272.63 UAH/MWh (-2.6% vs the previous trading day). At the same time, on April 25-30, the weighted average price on DAM remained relatively stable and ranged 2272-2333 UAH/MWh. The gap between exchange prices in the Eastern European markets and in Ukraine has also slightly decreased. Prices in the markets of Slovakia, Hungary and Romania were app. 2.7 times higher than the Base DAM price index of Ukraine, while the price spread with the Polish market has decreased from 2.5 to 2.2 times. As for April 30, the volume of trading decreased up to 11,062.8 MWh, reaching a record low (-35.7% vs the previous day). At the same time, the volume of sale bids insignificantly reduced to 212,980.4 MWh (-1.2%). These changes led to a further growth in market surplus - the gap with the volume of purchase bids increased from 12.5 to 19.2 times. The structure of electricity purchase on DAM has somewhat changed: 73.4% belonged to suppliers, 26% to system operators, 0.4% to traders, and 0.3% to producers. Intraday market (IDM): On April 29, the weighted average price of electricity on IDM decreased to 2,668.42 UAH/MWh (-3.4% vs the previous day). In turn, the volume of trading decreased significantly - to 231.7 MWh (-42.5% vs the previous day). Given the high volume of purchase bids at 29,451.9 MWh (-10.9%), the market surplus remained high - the gap with the volume of purchase bids was 127 times. The structure of trading on IDM has undergone minor changes: 83.3% belonged to suppliers, 16.7% to system operators. Disruption and resumption of supply According to the Cabinet of Ministers, as of 20:00 on April 29, 833 settlements were disconnected from electricity, a total of almost 710,600 consumers. During the day, electricity supply was resumed to more than 130,000 consumers. Large-scale power supply disruptions and, consequently, active recovery works were taking place: • in the Luhansk region, according to the Regional Military Administration, 42 settlements – 29 completely and 13 partially (99,295 consumers) were without electricity supply; • in the Donetsk region, according to DTEK, supplies to 12,500 consumers in 26 settlements were resumed during the day; more than 232 settlements (according to the Cabinet of Ministers, over 300,400 consumers) remained without electricity supply; • in the Kharkiv region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply was resumed to 99,000 consumers during the day; while 195,000 consumers were without electricity supply; • in the Kyiv region, according to DTEK, supplies to 5,250 consumers in the Vyshhorod and Bucha districts were resumed during the day; • in the Zaporizhzhia region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply to 16,400 consumers was resumed during the day; • in the Kherson region, as of 16:00 on April 29, 80 settlements were completely without electricity (48,800 consumers in total); according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply to 300 consumers was resumed during the day; • in the Mykolaiv region, supply to 600 consumers was resumed during the day; • in the Chernihiv region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply to 400 consumers was resumed during the day; • in the Zhytomyr region, according to the Cabinet of Ministers, supply to 100 consumers was resumed during the day; • there was no up-to-date information on power supply in the Sumy region at the time of the review preparation. Gas Sector: As of April 28, the transit of Russian gas through the territory of Ukraine increased and amounted to 63.8 mcm, which corresponds to the previous day level. These volumes account for much less than the capacity contracted by Gazprom (109 mcm per day). There were no physical imports of gas from the EU that day. Gas transit through Ukraine (at Sokhranivka and Sudzha interconnection points), mcm Source: GTSOU Disruption and resumption of supply The Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Kherson, and Mykolaiv regions had the most challenging situation in gas supply. According to the Cabinet of Ministers, as of 20:00 on April 29, over 213,000 consumers were left with no gas supply; gas supply was restored to 4,900 consumers in a day. In the Donetsk region, the local DSO reported the termination of gas supply to 23 consumers due to hostilities. Gas supply to 29 households was restored due to quick repairs of networks. It also was restored to another 53 households. In the Luhansk region, the local DSO reported the resumption of gas supply to almost 100 consumers in Lysychansk. At the same time, according to the Regional Military Administration Head Serhiy Haidai, only 6 settlements in the region had gas supply (3 of them partially), 45,315 consumers in total. According to the Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration, as of the morning on April 30, 65,956 consumers in 85 settlements remained without gas supply (same as the day before). 48 settlements of Berdyansk and Melitopol districts remained disconnected from gas supply due to damage to the main gas pipeline in the Donetsk region. In the Kyiv region, gas supply restoration was completed in 117 settlements of the Brovary, Vyshgorod, Fastiv, and partially Bucha districts (107,740 consumer facilities). Gas supply was restored to 5,069 consumer facilities in 5 settlements during the previous day. 3 settlements of the Bucha district (41,635 consumer facilities) remained without gas supply. In the Kharkiv region, the local DSO employees restored gas supply to more than 4,000 consumers. The emergency crews have restored gas supply to more than 77,000 consumers since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. According to the Mykolaiv Regional Military Administration, since the beginning of the war, the number of damaged infrastructure facilities didn’t change and amounted to 109. At the same time, the number of consumers without gas supply increased to 1,597. In the Kherson region, the situation didn’t change: as of April 29, 19,692 consumers (in particular, 5 settlements of the Stanislav community and 16 settlements of the Beryslav district) did not have gas supply. The Sumy Regional Military Administration Head Dmytro Zhyvytskyi announced almost complete resumption of gas supply in the region, except for some remote consumer facilities. Operational information on gas supply in the Chernihiv region was not available at the time of the review preparation. Countermeasures of Ukrainian Companies and Public Authorities The Prime Minister of Ukraine Denis Shmyhal said the government keeps the price of gas for households (under basic annual offers) and enterprises that perform vital functions to ensure the state defense capabilities - at 8 UAH per cubic meter. The relevant decision of the Cabinet of Ministers was not published at the time of the review preparation. The government also advised local authorities not to raise utility tariffs. In order to reduce fuel deficit on the Ukrainian market, the Cabinet of Ministers raised the maximum prices for petroleum and diesel fuel. In particular, the marginal premium accrued on the average cost of diesel fuel increased from 5 to 7 UAH/liter, incl. VAT (+40%), and petroleum - from 4.55 to 6.50 UAH/liter, incl. VAT (+42.8%). According to the latest calculations of the Ministry of Economy as of April 22, the average price of diesel fuel was 33.66 UAH/liter, and petroleum - 29.55 UAH/liter. Thus, taking into account the marginal markups, the maximum retail price of diesel fuel should not exceed 40.66 UAH/liter, petroleum - 36.05 UAH/liter. The First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko said the deficit of fuel at gas stations will be resolved within a week through contracted supplies from Western Europe. Also, according to MPs, the parliament rejected the initiative to reintroduce excise tax on fuel and 20% VAT rate; the relevant norms were excluded from the draft law No. 7311, which will be submitted for the second reading. The Verkhovna Rada Committee on Finance, Tax and Customs Policy approved a draft law (reg. No. 7232), which proposes to increase taxes for companies of Ukrainian residency that refused to leave Russia, using a factor of 1.5. They may also be required to label links to the aggressor in advertising their products. In addition, if the draft law is adopted, companies will lose benefits under DiiaCity regime, would not be able to use investment services, receive benefits on direct taxes and obtain a license to operate in the field of gambling. Sources: The alerts are developed based on collected, verified, and analyzed information reports of over 100 official sources: ministries, state agencies, network operators, and energy companies. Information was collected only from official websites and official social media accounts. For subscriptions, comments and other questions, please email to: author@dixigroup.org SUPPORT UKRAINIAN ENERGY SECTOR Prior to transferring funds, please email to the Energy Community Secretariat SUPPORT UKRAINIAN ARMY To financially support Heroic Ukrainian Army, please follow the link (The National Bank of Ukraine)
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