COVID Statistics Epidemiology Statistics for Canada1 (pop. 37,742,154) 12,000,000 11,027,292 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 342,444 57,435 11,618 0 Total Tests Total Cases Active Cases Total Deaths Canada wide stats 70.3% of cases and 89.6% of deaths are in Ontario and Quebec. 89.3% of deaths were in the 70 and above age group2: 1 “Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Epidemiology update.” Government of Canada. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html 2 “Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Epidemiology update.” Government of Canada. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html Hospitalizations Statistics for Canada3 (pop. 37,742,154) Canada wide stats 400000 342,444 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 21,196 4,180 1,024 0 Total Cases Hospitalizations ICU ON Ventilators Canada wide stats During the first wave of the pandemic and up to the end of May, long-term care facilities and retirement homes accounted for more than 80% of all COVID-19 deaths in the country.4 Remember that up to 70% of COVID cases are asymptomatic according the American Centre for Disease Control.5 This means that most people who have COVID will not seek testing because they have not symptoms. If we take the 11,027,292 tests performed in Canada thus far, we are mainly seeing the symptomatic cases being represented. It is probable that a far greater number of cases actually exist but go unreported. This will mean that the actual fatality ratio of COVID is much smaller than the 3.39% calculated if we take the total deaths and divide them by the total cases officially recorded. In fact, the Center for Disease Control in the U.S. recently updated their estimated Infection Fatality Ratio6 for COVID and arrived at the following figures: 0 to 19 years old chances of dying if infected: 0.003% 20 to 49 years old chances of dying if infected: 0.02% 50 to 69 years old chances of dying if infected: 0.05% 70 plus years old chances of dying if infected: 2 to 9% 3 “Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Epidemiology update.” Government of Canada. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. https://health-infobase.canada.ca/src/data/covidLive/Epidemiological-summary-of-COVID-19- cases-in-Canada-Canada.ca.pdf 4 “StatCan COVID-19” Statistics Canada. 16 Nov. 2020. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/45-28- 0001/2020001/article/00087-eng.htm 5 COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios.” Center for Disease Control and Prevention. 10 Sept. 2020. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html 6 COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios.” Center for Disease Control and Prevention. 10 Sept. 2020. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html Caseload per province7 Epidemiology Statistics for British Columbia8 (pop. 5,020,302) B.C. 1,200,000 1,077,733 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 28,348 7,732 358 0 Total Tests Total Cases Active Cases Total Deaths B.C. 7 “Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Epidemiology update.” Government of Canada. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html 8 “BC COVID-19 Data.” B.C. Center for Disease Control. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. http://www.bccdc.ca/health- info/diseases-conditions/covid-19/data COVID Age Statistics for British Columbia9 (pop. 5,020,302) 9 “British Columbia Weekly COVID-19 SurveillanceReportB.C. Center for Disease Control. Web. 10 Sep. 2020. http://www.bccdc.ca/Health-Info-Site/Documents/BC_Surveillance_Summary_Sept_10_2020.pdf Epidemiology Statistics for Vancouver Island10 (pop. 850,000) Vancouver Island & Central Coast 140,000 123,339 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 505 152 6 0 Total Tests Total Cases Active Cases Total Deaths ICU Total Tests Total Cases Active Cases Total Deaths ICU Vancouver Island Health Region includes the Central Coast: 10 “BC COVID-19 Data.” B.C. Center for Disease Control. Web. 24 Nov. 2020. http://www.bccdc.ca/health- info/diseases-conditions/covid-19/data Comorbidities and COVID Deaths As a point of comparison, the most common influenza comorbidities recorded between 2016 and 2018 were similar to those recorded for COVID-19 during the first wave.11 100% of the COVID-involved deaths of Canadians under the age of 45 as of July 31 had at least one other disease or condition certified on the medical certificate of death. The proportion of those with at least one other disease or condition decreases with age, ranging from 93% for those aged 45 to 64 to 89% for those aged 85 years or older. 12 Percentage of COVID Deaths that had at least one other health condition (i.e.: comorbidity) 100% 100% 100% 93% 90% 89% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0-19 yrs 20-44 45-64 85 plus Percentage of COVID Deaths that had at least one other health condition Statistics Canada does not publish information regarding the death rate of Canadians after 2018. It will take approximately 2 years to determine the exact death rate for Canadians in the years 2019 and 2020. 11 “StatCan COVID-19” Statistics Canada. 16 Nov. 2020. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/45-28- 0001/2020001/article/00087-eng.htm 12 Ibid. Testing and Positivity Rates In Canada13 Testing has greatly increased in Canada since June and the percentage of tests that come back positive have remained around 2.0% from July through September. As testing continues to expand, if the positivity rate stays around the same mark, this means we have a good idea of what percentage of Canadians who get tested have COVID. Increased testing means increased COVID cases recorded. Not because the disease is spreading but because testing is expanding. 13 “Test positivity, death rates, and why increased testing doesn't account for COVID-19 spike.” CTV News. 29 Sept. 2020. https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/test-positivity-death-rates-and-why-increased- testing-doesn-t-account-for-covid-19-spike-1.5125524
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